May 20, 2011

Whack-a-mole drug war: Escalating Drug Violence in Northern Mexico Overwhelms Authorities

An analysis of the unwinnability of the drug war by Lisa M. Ruth, a former CIA analyst and officer, who is managing partner of C2 Research, a boutique research and analysis firm in West Palm Beach, Fla., and is vice president at CTC International Group Inc., a private intelligence firm.

Escalating Drug Violence in Northern Mexico Overwhelms Authorities: "Despite Calderon’s promise for more troops to fight the violence, it is unlikely that the government can mount a serious operation against the cartels in Northern Mexico. The government could win an armed conflict with the cartels with only a full military commitment backed by foreign troops, which is highly unlikely at this point.

Instead, the government may opt for the lesser of two evils and make an accommodation with the Sinaloa cartel to strengthen that group against the rouge cartels."

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