Aug 18, 2011

Whack-a-mole Drug War: The Buffer Between Mexican Cartels and the U.S. Government

A detailed analysis by Stratfor, a national security analysis firm, of why it is unlikely that the Mexican cartels would directly attack U.S. government personnel. 

STRATFOR: Despite their public manifestations of machismo, the cartel leaders clearly fear and respect the strength of the world’s only superpower. This is evidenced by the distinct change in cartel activities along the U.S.-Mexico border... In Mexico, the cartels have the freedom to operate far more brazenly than they can in the United States, in terms of both drug trafficking and acts of violence.

... One facet of this buffer is corruption, which is endemic in Mexico,...However, the money generated by the Mexican cartels has far greater effects than just promoting corruption. The billions of dollars that come into the Mexican economy via the drug trade are important to the Mexican banking sector and to the industries in which the funds are laundered, such as construction. Because of this, there are many powerful Mexican businessmen who profit either directly or indirectly from the narcotics trade, and it would not be in their best interest for the billions of drug dollars to stop flowing into Mexico. Such people can place heavy pressure on the political system by either supporting or withholding support from particular candidates or parties.

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